Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.752299 3.998566 4.260385 4.560762 4.897488 5.265258 5.699976
2025-10-12 3.408287 3.760440 4.157501 4.643693 5.230585 5.926518 6.830638
2025-10-19 3.194474 3.606462 4.089779 4.709337 5.499150 6.497553 7.900334
2025-10-26 3.015985 3.463752 4.005030 4.724112 5.682081 6.960079 8.885265
2025-11-02 2.839641 3.303248 3.876526 4.659468 5.739742 7.246371 9.656821
2025-11-09 2.669758 3.135926 3.722453 4.540922 5.702199 7.381839 10.210665
2025-11-16 2.542014 3.012542 3.614099 4.470640 5.718778 7.589560 10.909009
2025-11-23 2.468136 2.953111 3.583985 4.502432 5.881462 8.035190 12.103787
2025-11-30 2.396223 2.891179 3.544954 4.515843 6.014025 8.445926 13.331160
2025-12-07 2.279851 2.763732 3.408413 4.376715 5.894765 8.415856 13.674568
2025-12-14 2.183383 2.658878 3.297727 4.268002 5.813235 8.439231 14.134419
2025-12-21 2.120185 2.596412 3.242904 4.238480 5.855713 8.686467 15.150890
2025-12-28 2.068866 2.550074 3.211259 4.246214 5.967717 9.091898 16.711525
2026-01-04 2.039110 2.532500 3.220089 4.317443 6.195797 9.761391 19.240945
2026-01-11 2.007796 2.510922 3.221266 4.375599 6.406006 10.433730 22.147835
2026-01-18 1.966579 2.473231 3.196194 4.388693 6.534761 10.957035 24.922918
2026-01-25 1.909885 2.411017 3.131247 4.331371 6.525513 11.169865 26.760842
2026-02-01 1.844486 2.334017 3.040776 4.226097 6.415268 11.130976 27.628912
2026-02-08 1.793486 2.276397 2.977659 4.163588 6.382865 11.274737 29.377145
2026-02-15 1.767536 2.254483 2.968277 4.191873 6.531810 11.893480 33.815977
2026-02-22 1.739136 2.227882 2.950302 4.203800 6.648542 12.456198 38.688020
2026-03-01 1.680866 2.155269 2.857764 4.079939 6.473996 12.207555 38.716691
2026-03-08 1.631275 2.094462 2.782108 3.982959 6.349815 12.084226 39.514578